Anthropic’s CEO says DeepSeek shows US export rules are working
In one essay On Wednesday, Dario Amodei, the CEO of Anthropic, weighed on the debate on whether the success of Chinese AI Company does not work the success of American export controls on AI chips.
Amodei, who recently submitted the case for stronger export controls In a Partly written with former American deputy national security adviser Matt Pottinger, says in the essay that he believes that current export controls slows down the progress of Chinese companies such as Deepseek. Compared to the performance of the strongest AI models produced by the US, says Amodei, the depth falls short in the time frame.
“Deepseek produced a model near the performance of US models 7-10 months older, for much less costs (but not somewhere near the relationships people suggested),” said Amodei. ‘[This is] An expected point at a continuous cost reduction curve. What is different this time is that the company was the first to demonstrate the expected cost reductions, Chinese. “
Amodei compares one of Deepseek’s flagship models, Deepseek V3, with the Claude 3.5 -Sonnet of Anthropic, which he says it costs a “pair of $ 10 million” to train. The Sonnet training ended 9 to 12 months ago, while the Deepseek model was trained in November or December – but Sonnet remains ahead in a number of “internal and external evals”, Amodei notes.
“American companies [are also] Achieving the usual trend in cost reduction, “Amodei added. “The efficiency innovations that Deepseek developed will soon be used by both the US and the Chinese laboratories to train models of multi-billion dollars.”
Amodei, who in the Essay Deepseek ‘very talented engineers’ calls it ‘shows why China is a serious competitor for the US’, in the way of which export policy embraces the Trump administration. Before Trump took office, the departing Biden administration imposed new restrictions on the export of hardware that will come into effect in the coming months, but that can be limited if Trump would like to do.
If Trump strengthens the export rules and prevents China from being obtained what Amodei describes as “millions of chips” for AI development, the US and its allies may have an “impressive and long-term lead”, Amodei claims. On the other hand, if the US does not make it more challenging for China to import AI chips, the country can “more talent, capital and focus” lead to “military applications” of AI technologies, Amodei fears.
“Combined with its large industrial base and military strategic benefits, this could help China to take an impressive lead on the world stage,” Amodei said. “For the sake of clarity, the goal here is not to deny China or any other authoritarian country the immense benefits in science, medicine, the quality of life, etc., and so on from very powerful AI systems. Everyone should be able to take advantage of AI. The goal is to prevent them from getting military dominance. “
It seems likely that Amodei will get its preferred result. In a senate hearing on Wednesday, billionaire businessman Howard Lutnick, Trump’s pick for commercial secretary, accused Deepseek about stealing American IP.
“What this showed is that our export controls, not supported by rates, are like a Mack-a-Mole model,” Lutnick said. “Chinese rates must be the highest.”
As a commercial secretary, Lutnick would play a key role in performing Trump’s plans to increase and force rates.
OpenAi, the most important rival of Anthropic, has also called on the Trump government to take more aggressive steps to guarantee the American dominance in AI. In one Recently published Policy DocOpenAI warned that if the US does not attract the necessary global funds for AI projects, they “will” flow to China-Streamed projects “and”[strengthen] The global influence of the Chinese Communist Party. “
