Sun Belt contains the edge of the home, even while the Pandemic Boomtowns decrease

Nationally, the number of resale houses on the Markt in April started 21% compared to a year ago. The increase varies per region – an increase of 53% in the southwest, but only 16% in the midwest.

The report points to pre-Pandemic inventory as a clearer measure of printing:

• Noord -Florida: currently has 38% more resale homes than in April 2019
• Texas: 37% more houses
• Southwest: 23% more houses

These regions are also where the prizes mitigate.

In Austin there are 91% more houses for sale than in 2019, and the prices have fallen by 2% year after year. Orange County, California, on the other hand, has 41% fewer houses for sale than in 2019 – with house prices that increase 5%.

Builders also feel the pinch.

In over -culded areas such as Texas and Florida, inventories in new home have been at their highest level since 2010 and the prize is falling according to John Burns. In response, the report shows that builders are slowing down the construction activity to match a weaker sale.

Sun Belt’s job, population growth remains strong

While the offer stimulates current market trends, the image depends on where people are going and where jobs grow.

Domestic migration is preferable to give Sun Belt cities.

Jacksonville, together with the North Carolina Hubs by Charlotte and Raleigh-Durham, remain as top destinations, while traditional coastal hubs such as Los Angeles, New York and Chicago lose residents. But international migration has contributed to compensating for these losses.

Trends in employment strengthen this gap:

• Noord -Florida: +1.4% on an annual basis of job growth in April
• Texas: +1.3%
• US average: +1.2%
• Southwest: +0.1%
• South California: 0%

Sun Belt metro’s have surpassed their pre-Pandemic employment levels. Dallas has risen by 11% compared to pre-covide peaks. In the meantime, the job base of San Francisco 2% remains under pre-building levels.

Nowadays excess, ready for growth tomorrow

Some markets may look weak now, but their long -term perspectives remain clear.

“(In Austin, Texas), house prices are now falling as a result of oversupply. But the population of the city grew by 2.4% in 2024 – three times faster than the national average,” the report notes.

Similarly, the housing market of Orlando has cooled, but the growth of the jobs is almost double the national rate – which suggests that the future demand for the city will return.

“These contradictions emphasize why a longer -term perspective is essential for identifying opportunities,” the report explained. “The strong question of demand (jobs and population growth) that drove the growth of the sunny book during the Pandemie has not disappeared – they are simply overshadowed by a supply.”